Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data

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Beschreibung

This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions.
The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.

Presents a self-contained introduction to conflict modeling

Provides novel concepts which are broadly applicable

Contains supplementary material, e.g. code and data sets

Written by experts in the field

Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras



Inhalt
Conflict Data Sets and Point Patterns.- Theory.- Modelling and Prediction in Conflict: Afghanistan.

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Produktinformationen

Titel
Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data
Autor
EAN
9783319010373
ISBN
978-3-319-01037-3
Format
Kartonierter Einband
Herausgeber
Springer, Berlin
Genre
Physik & Astronomie
Anzahl Seiten
74
Gewicht
152g
Größe
H8mm x B236mm x T153mm
Jahr
2013
Untertitel
Englisch
Auflage
2013
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